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Election Intelligence Center

Election Intelligence Command Center

Live election risk monitoring powered by public reports, CCMG historical records, verification workflows, and early-warning intelligence.

Total Incidents 203 All recorded incidents
Active Hotspots 92 Constituencies above risk threshold
High-risk Provinces 10 Province risk index above 61
Violence Trend 32 Violence-related records
Pending Verification 0 Public reports awaiting review
Today’s Incidents 0 Created today

Incident Risk Heatmap - Zambia

Province hotspot intensity based on imported and verified incident data.

Province
0 Low
Total Incidents 0
Average Risk Score 0
Critical Alerts 0
Risk Level Critical 81+ High 61–80 Watchlist 31–60 Low 0–30

Election Risk Forecast

Forecast based on current incident history, hotspots, and verification signals.

Highest Risk Province Eastern

High likelihood of election-related incidents within the next 7 days.

High
Forecast Confidence High (90%)

Based on verified reports, recent trend, incident severity, and historical hotspot activity.

Why this province?

High average incident risk score
Critical incidents recorded in province
Province has recent historical hotspot activity
New activity detected

Recommended Actions

Increase field monitoring
Review pending verification reports
Engage local election stakeholders
Trend New activity detected

Province Risk Ranking

Top provinces by average risk index.

Northern
86
NORTHWESTERN
85
Luapula
85
Central
84
Eastern
83
Western
83
Muchinga
82
Southern
80
Copperbelt
77
Lusaka
75
COUNTRYWIDE
50

Incident Categories

Distribution of recorded incident types.

Attack
66
Political Space
10
Physical Violence
6
Stoned
6
Altercation
5
Intimidation
5
Violence
4
Confrontation
4

Incident Timeline

Latest activity across the intelligence database.

19:15
Collection of NRC/Voters cards · Lusaka On Thursday, 23rd July 2026, a group of 5 UPND party supporters visited Masongoti Village in...
19:15
UPND cadres attacked Independent Aspiring MP · Southern On 19th July at around 14 hours, the UPND cadres followed the independent MP candidate, Mr L...
19:15
Party members fighting each other which led to the death of a UPND supporter · Northern On 29/06/2026, a group of suspected cadres from the National Revolutionary Party for Unity a...
19:15
Party member or supporter using language as incitement to public order/violence · NORTHWESTERN Observer was told that there was a fight involving cadres of UPND and those for the Independ...
19:15
Politically-motivated violence or attack, incitement to public order · Lusaka On Tuesday, 15th July 2026, during a campaign roadshow in Kalingalinga involving presidentia...
19:15
Politically-motivated violence or attack, incitement to public order · NORTHWESTERN On 15th July, 2026, observer heard that there was a fight at the Manyinga town Council betwe...